Top Five Worst Subsidies

Anyone versed in basic economics knows that government subsidies are almost always a bad idea. To be sure, government support can be crucial in furthering basic research and other beneficial activities that for-profit corporations avoid. But it’s a sad reflection of America’s budget process that we continue to subsidize activities that are well established and often highly profitable. In other cases, we taxpayers distort costs through our subsidies, thus encouraging over-consumption of a subsidized good relative to an unsubsidized one.

While many articles on this blog have been devoted to the topic, I couldn’t resist – so here’s my top-five list of most-reviled government subsidies:
Read the full entry (341 words) …

World View

World View

I haven’t posted in quite a while, but thought I’d restart by posting a photo I took on an S-bahn platform in Berlin (Savigny Platz for those keeping score). Interesting to see what folks in other parts of the world think, isn’t it?

In some ways, quite a positive image – if only our politicians got along that well!

A Tax Cut for All

With the 2001 tax cuts beginning to expire in a few years, perhaps it is time to revisit them. Those tax cuts, along with a subsequent tax cut in 2003, cost roughly $150 billion per year in lost tax revenue. Tax rates were cut across the board, with a drop from 15 percent to 10 percent in the lowest tax bracket, and a drop from 39 percent to 36 percent in the highest bracket. A myriad of other tax breaks including a cut in taxes on dividends and capital gains combined to make one of the largest tax reductions in years. Now, with the tax cuts set to expire in 2010, Democrats argue that they be allowed to expire to reduce the deficit while Republicans argue that they should be made permanent. A recent Congressional vote over a minimum-wage increase succumbed to this battle, as Republicans attempted to tie the repeal of the estate tax to a minimum wage hike.

There is room for compromise on this issue, where all Americans can enjoy a tax cut without increasing current structural deficits. A reduction in the lowest federal tax bracket (for income below $10,000) from 10% to 0% would provide $1000 in tax relief for every full-time American worker, from the richest to the poorest. The elimination of the lowest tax bracket would lift more Americans out of poverty than a hike in the minimum wage, since it wouldn’t have the adverse affects on employment that a wage floor can have. If developing nations like China and India can do without an income tax for the poorest in society, can’t America? One caveat: giving $1000 in taxes back to all 145 million American workers would cost $145 billion annually.

How can America pay for a tax cut even larger than the last round? For starters, since the lowest tax bracket would be eliminated, the Earned Income Tax Credit could be largely eliminated as well. The EITC rebates $40 billion per year to the poorest families in America, but adds a large regulatory burden for both families and the IRS by requiring taxpayers to claim the credit, with the IRS auditing them to ensure eligibility. Eliminating the EITC could help pay for a large chunk of lowest-bracket elimination while lightening the tax filing burden for a significant percentage of the population. Next, allow the upper tax bracket and estate tax reductions to expire in 2010, adding roughly $100 billion to government revenue. Finally, make permanent the 15% tax rate on dividends and capital gains, providing investment tax relief for the middle class and wealthy. The 15% rate on dividends and capital gains costs $5 billion to government coffers, but provides an incentive to the investing class to support the overall tax package.

All this leaves a neat compromise in which all Americans get a $1000 tax cut, and upper-middle class and wealthy Americans get to keep low investment tax rates in return for pitching in on broader tax relief. The elimination of the lowest tax bracket and the EITC would also simplify tax filing for millions of Americans, from poor working class families to the elderly and part-time workers as well. US mid-term elections take place tomorrow; if the Democrats take the House, this sort of tax cut would be a welcome new idea for their platform. If the Republicans narrowly maintain control, a broad-based compromise tax cut for all might be just the kind of legislation they need to break the legislative logjam. Any takers?

Corporate Income Taxes are Broken

While tax policy has long been used as a political tool, the basic purpose of taxation is to raise funds for the government. Ideally, taxes should accomplish this goal in as efficient and equitable a manner as possible. Tax codes at both the federal and state levels have long since diverged from this ideal, becoming bloated documents aimed at encouraging us to drive certain cars, have certain occupations, and make a myriad of other choices having nothing to do with government revenue. But for all their flaws, personal income tax codes in the US are simple and efficient in comparison with corporate tax codes.

Corporate income taxes are the only taxes in the US levied on a vague notion of “income”: the difference between revenues and all business-related expenditure. Personal income taxes are in effect revenue taxes, as they do not shrink for the person who spends every dime to get by, nor do they grow for the person who saves 20% of their income. Property and sales taxes likewise do not take into account the payor’s ability to pay; indeed, property taxes occasionally push property owners into bankruptcy. Only corporate income taxes attempt to tax based on a company’s ability to pay, as measured by corporate profits.

Unfortunately, determining a corporation’s profits is complex at best, and can be a subjective matter at worst as companies use myriad techniques to reduce their taxable profits. Small, individually-owned companies often commingle business and personal expenses, reducing taxable profits while gaining personal benefit. In the area of automobile leasing this is so common that accountants typically tell their small business clients to deduct 90% of a personal vehicle lease against their business revenue, as this is the “generally accepted” deduction for such an expense.

Large public companies also have been known to deduct expenses incurred for the benefit of company executives. Corporations use foreign subsidiaries to avoid taxes by paying those subsidiaries for rights to trademarks or other services, resulting in an expense for US accounting purposes. Public corporations also legally keep two separate sets of accounting books: one for the SEC and investors, which attempts to show maximum profitability, and another for the IRS which shows minimum profitability. The complexity of this system imposes a significant burden on both companies and the IRS, as both sides engage in a complex accounting dance to accurately determine profitability.

Why not tax corporations just as the government taxes individuals, by taxing their revenue and not their profit? Revenue is a much simpler number to establish and verify than profit, since no consideration of expenses is involved. The accounting burden for both companies and revenue collection agencies would be greatly reduced, decreasing the drag of compliance on the economy. Gross-receipts taxes, as they are often called, are effectively used in several states including Washington and Delaware. Since gross-receipts taxes are broad-based, US corporate tax rates of around 35% could be replaced by a revenue-neutral revenue tax at a rate of around 1%. For many profitable companies a revenue tax would result in a significant tax reduction, while millions of small businesses would now have to make a small 1% contribution to tax revenue for the first time.

Critics complain that revenue taxes hurt companies like wholesalers that have very low margins – but even commodity intermediaries aim to earn 2-3% in net margins, making the burden of a 1% revenue tax similar to their current income tax burden. And no one seems to complain that a profitless corporation can’t afford to pay its property or sales taxes! A complete migration of corporate taxation to gross-receipts taxation might seem close to impossible at the federal level, with all the winners and losers it would create. But such a system would deliver huge benefits by lowering compliance and audit costs while distributing taxation more fairly across all corporations.

Fixing Social Security

Two words: Social Security. Together they’ve come to represent a massive defined-benefit pension system in which all working Americans must participate. The system worked well for decades, when life expectancies were lower and a smaller percentage of the population was in retirement. Now, even though a full 12.4% of most workers’ gross salary is devoted to Social Security, the system may run bankrupt before young Americans today retire. Some Republicans are proposing to privatize the system, while Democrats are fiercely fighting change. Why not start with a simpler question: why does Social Security even exist?

Social Security was originally intended as a way to guarantee that the elderly would not fall into poverty after leaving the work force. It has now become the primary, and in many cases, only savings program in which most Americans participate. But why force Americans to save? This is perhaps the most socialist part of the American economy, wherein every working American must set aside one-eighth of their pay for retirement. Rather than forcing Americans to save, why not return Social Security to its original purpose of providing benefits to the impoverished elderly?

By reducing the scope of Social Security benefits so that they cover only the elderly poor, the program will again provide a safety net for the elderly, and not a forced savings program. The resulting program shrinkage can be used to both cut taxes and make the program solvent over the long term.

In practice, this kind of change could be implemented through significant means-testing of Social Security benefits. The change could phased in so that it affects only young workers, while preserving benefits for those who have paid higher rates for decades. By modifying Social Security from a savings program into a safety net, we can both cut taxes and provide for the less fortunate among the elderly. Who doesn’t want that?

On Illegal Immigration

Well, what do you want? Do you want cheap labor, or do you want sound borders? Illegal immigration has been an economic boon to the US, providing between 10 and 20 million workers that have moderated the costs of construction, housekeeping, daycare, food service, and agriculture even while oil and other commodity prices are pushing inflation up.

Illegal immigrants have increased the US workforce by 5-10% in recent years, and have been a key factor in recent economic growth. The price: some displacement of poor American workers, growing Latin-American influence on US culture, and insecure borders. Economists are having a hard time measuring American job loss to illegals, chiefly since growth has provided other opportunities (they also find it difficult to measure any net loss in tax collections or state benefits). And while the Mexican border may be insecure, the Canadian border is the only border previously used by anti-American terrorists.

The only price paid so far, then, is the increasing Latinization of American culture.

Politicians on the social right are pandering to some Americans’ xenophobic fear of cultural dilution with the onslaught of immigrants. If you view cultural diversity as a threat, then for you the fear and costs are real. While the border should be secure both on principle and so that the US can create a rational immigration policy, the benefits of illegal immigration have so far outweighed the costs. And guess what: that’s exactly why it’s been allowed to go on for so long.